The Movable Buffet

Dispatches from Las Vegas
by Richard Abowitz

Category: Vegas Economy

Vegas needs money: 5 'shovel-ready' ways

May 19, 2009 |  9:37 am

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Casinos are not eligible for federal bailout funds. But in these desperate times there are easy fixes to generate more revenue in Sin City. Of course, most involve increasing the sin. I do not think all of these things should take place. They are suggestions. I am not really in favor of letting teenagers gamble. On the other hand, as Vegas crashes and burns, I thought I would throw out five previously taboo ideas that have been hinted at in various conversations, bills that died in committee, and suggestions I am hearing around town over the last few months.

But I have left the two of the most obvious ideas people have offered me off this list. Legalizing marijuana is the most popular suggestion to increase revenue in Vegas. It is the first thing most people say. And  yet no one in power is suggesting this idea. Vegas has no tradition or infrastructure for legal marijuana to happen. (Even our medical marijuana law, totally different than the one in California, is so complex that it is virtually unusable by people who qualify.) Marijuana is not shovel-ready.

The other suggestion I have left out involves the legalization of Internet gambling. I do not have a position on this issue. But while it may be of great benefit to casino companies, it is less clear to me how this will benefit Las Vegas.

1. Gay Marriage: Everyone knows about marriage in Vegas. The Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority, because of the number of locals also getting licenses, is not clear how many tourists are married here annually. But the answer is a lot. You probably know someone who was married here. It is rare to spend time in a casino and not see a bride. Obviously in addition to Nevada, gay marriage would need to be done on a national level to really impact Vegas. But there is no single move that would be more beneficial to the Las Vegas economy. Wedding money works its way all through Vegas, from flower shops to photographers to limo drivers.

2. Legal prostitution: In another city this should be controversial. That this is a huge third rail in Vegas is actually surprising. After all, legal brothels exist just across the county line, most tourists think prostitution is legal here anyway, and illegal prostitution is a huge and totally unregulated local industry here. And it is the worst kind of business, keeping pimps employed and allowing underage women to be exploited. If there is one city in this country set up to legalize and regulate prostitution, it is Las Vegas.

3: Lower the gambling age to 18. You can drive; you can vote; you can fight in a war. The logic here is obvious. But while you can gamble at tribal casinos in the area, Las Vegas casinos are prohibited from permiting anyone under 21 to gamble.

4: Allow strip clubs in resorts: There are topless bars and fully nude juice bars all over Vegas. The result has been corruption, from doormen at resorts taking kickbacks from limo drivers to taxi cabs demanding bounties from topless bars for delivering fare-paying clients, to city councilmen going to jail. Vegas resorts have been pushing toward this line for a while, most recently with the Sapphire pool at the Rio, ostensibly the place the Sapphire dancers hang out. Now may be time to cross the line. Certainly  resorts have better security, better regulated owners and more carefully scrutinized business practices. Resorts already include topless shows. Still, there is a tradition of keeping our vices separate in Vegas. Gambling and lap dances should be a cab ride apart. But certainly the clubs on Industrial Avenue will always offer the more extreme experience. And with a ballooning state deficit and resorts drowning in debt, why be prudish? Vegas has topless bars and resorts already; if you put them together you can regulate them better and tax them more.

5. Make things cheap again: This is not my idea. Last month for Las Vegas Weekly  I did a profile of Anthony Curtis, the gambling consumer activist who publishes Las Vegas Advisor. I asked him to look at things from the casino's perspective, in terms of how they can make profits grow again. To Curtis the mistake is when casinos started to make everything from shows to shopping profitable. The things casinos really make money on is gambling. Curtis feels the resorts in Vegas forgot that. Yes, you can charge a guy $30 to enter a pool and spend the day watching women in bikinis. Or you can get the same customer to spend hundreds in a nightclub. But if the person played craps all day or night, the casino would be in better shape. According to Curtis:

“Casinos are doing something very stupid. They only have the first part of the equation right, which is they are discounting to fill rooms. But they are trying to hide where they are cutting back, and that is to the gambler. And the gambler will feel it with reduced payback and reduced comp policies. But they should be going back to the old model where the profit center is the casino itself. They can’t maintain profits in other areas, because people aren’t that stupid. Bring them in and break even on other things, essentially, and earn your money in the casino.”

Photo: Sarah Gerke


The biggest loser

May 5, 2009 |  4:34 pm
Venetian

In 2005 I blogged about who was richer, Sheldon Adelson or his rival Steve Wynn.  Back then the answer was Adelson.

Sign of the times, both Adelson's Las Vegas Sands and Wynn's Wynn Resorts released quarterly earnings reports ("earning" is no longer the right word, is it?) today and we can now compare how much each rich guy's company lost. Las Vegas Sands lost $34.6 million whereas Wynn resorts kept that total to a mere $33.8 million.
 
Photo: Sarah Gerke
 

 


Could Vegas be run by bankers?

March 4, 2009 | 11:16 am

Strip The mob had a chance; then the large corporations had their time. Now, is it the bankers' turn? Seriously, is it time for bankers, the people getting bailouts, to run Vegas' casinos? A bank already controls the yet-to-be-completed Cosmopolitan on the Strip, and others may follow.

Can Las Vegas really wind up in the hands of bankers? Nowadays, it seems possible with words like "bankruptcy" and "default" floating around many of the town's big players. The irony is that if the resort companies drown in their debts, the winners will be the banks that should not have loaned them so much money that the companies collapsed under the obligations. How could the reward for what, in retrospect, looks like some poor lending decisions possibly be ownership of large parts of the Las Vegas Strip? 

Today the Review-Journal looks at the possibility of a financial meltdown because of debt in a story on MGM-Mirage, the largest employer in town, with 10 resorts. Also, today the company that owns Riviera slipped into something called "technical default" to Wachovia. The Station and Boyd situation continues to play out to no benefit for either company. For Station there is the worry of how it will pay existing debt, and for Boyd there is concern over the debt it wants to take on for the purchase of Station casinos. Harrah's bonds are also down, reportedly over fears that the company could default. Las Vegas Sands (owner of Venetian and Palazzo) is also in the news, making moves trying to avoid default.

Two scary thoughts: What would bankers do with Las Vegas? And what would Las Vegas be like if run by bankers? (photo by Sarah Gerke)


Bailing out Vegas?

November 26, 2008 | 12:47 pm
Lvblvd My article for Las Vegas Weekly on a bailout for Vegas has come out. Thanks to all of you for your suggestions. Actually, I argue there is a good chance that taxpayer money could be invested here with a lot of results. There is a small problem: Bailouts seem to first require sinking.

UNLV professor William Thompson, whom I interviewed for the Weekly article, points out  why Vegas isn’t getting in line for a bailout:


"Things are actually far better here, even now, than a place like Detroit, which has declined for years, or Wall Street, which imploded with bad debt. Thompson says, 'We all see the downfalls in revenues, but at worst we have fallen to where we were a few years ago. And a few years ago we were doing fine.'
 
Ultimately, unlike other troubled industries where the future is in doubt, Vegas, despite appearing to be a city on the precipice of economic misery, has become a bargain for casino shoppers and builders from outside the United States.

Thompson points to the quick licensing of the United Arab Emirates' state-controlled Dubai World last week as a precedent in which local gaming regulators appear to be offering flexibility to help the resorts. 'With foreign languages and the distance the books have to travel, it could be time consuming to investigate a foreign country. And they set a precedent by doing that approval quickly, probably because of the economy. The truth is if you can get someone to buy, there is a tremendous bargain in Vegas for resorts. But the money from banks isn’t there. And so I think that we are going to need the money from the Middle East and elsewhere. The money will come into Vegas. We can start and stop and start building. And it would be a good investment to encourage companies to come in, because economically it makes sense if you are looking at the bottom line.'
 
In other words, our bottom line is too good for our government, thus offering great appeal to companies such as ones controlled by the government of Dubai. With Wall Street and the big three automakers, the government is giving money to causes that seem so lost that no one else will throw good money after bad. But to many, gambling in Vegas remains no gamble at all if you own the casino."

Photo: Sarah Gerke

What brings reckless spenders back?

October 10, 2008 | 10:10 am

20081010_001765 What happened to wild 2007? Where did all the crazy people renting Hummers go?

The first time I heard the word "recession" after I moved to Vegas in July 1999, shortly before the dot-com bust, it was to assure me that Vegas was recession-proof. And for the most part that turned out to be true. Not too long ago, I recalled on the Buffet how the effects of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks were short-lived here. And, indeed, as late as August I was still wondering if a slowdown was "possible" in Vegas. Well, we can now see I majored in English.

But back in those innocent days, earlier this fall, when I had never heard about terms of art and jargon from Wall Street like "liquidity crisis," there was still a sense in town that even if the rest of the country had a recession, Vegas would be minimally affected. The reason was that unlike the rest of you, in Vegas economic problems had an obvious expiration date with new huge resorts -- meaning massive local employment and more tourists -- headed to the Strip over the next few years: Echelon, CityCenter, Plaza and, in the deeper distance, though granted not guaranteed, creatures like the proposed Elvis-themed hotel, another sponsored by an Australian billionaire and, most anticipated, a major redevelopment project expected to be announced by Harrah's for its carefully and expensively assembled parcel of the Strip casinos starting at the corner of Flamingo and Las Vegas Boulevard.

The projects in the distance, of course, never materialized, and then things got worse. The new reality is that Echelon construction has been temporarily suspended by parent company Boyds. Plaza has announced the year it will open, but why bother telling you that when they haven't announced any financing to build it? Even the well-underway CityCenter has yet to announce secured financing for its final phase of construction.

Some of the latest horrid economic news for Vegas is that Strip casino winnings numbers released for August on Thursday have declined for an unprecedented eight months in a row: $494 million down, or 7.4%, from last year.

To take one example of how quickly things are changing in Vegas, the Review-Journal looks at the billions lost just by Venetian and Palazzo owner Sheldon Adelson in the declining stock value of his shares of parent company Las Vegas Sands.

To give you a sense of how things can appear on the ground: One show, "Point Break Live!" at the V Theater at Planet Hollywood, may have set some sort of record by closing within a week of opening. I have certainly noticed the slowdown in my work.

If you do feel like a vacation in Vegas, check out any of the major travel sites right now, and with some searching you will find prices on some Strip rooms that reflect the rates of three or four years ago more than they do what was being charged last year. Vegas these days is remembering that this used to be known as a bargain vacation.

And returning to offering bargains may be one of the ways Vegas might deal with the uncertain times ahead.

Don't get me wrong, Vegas still has a lot of people coming. My visit to Pure on Tuesday found the lines as long as ever. But that in some ways disguises part of the problem. As I have written here before, the ability to adjust room rates keeps hotels fairly crowded. But the problem is that those people are not blowing money like they used to do.

And Vegas is still growing and growing fast. There is a lot happening in Vegas compared with other cities. Steve Wynn has Encore opening in December, for example. Other new resorts opening in the foreseeable future include Aliante Station and M. True, both are locally focused, but they are still upscale properties that will appeal to tourists and offer hundreds of hotel rooms, new venues, restaurants and more shopping along with creating hundreds of jobs.

But the "If you build it, they will come" model that Vegas has accepted as doctrine seems to be facing challenges.

So here is the question: What should Vegas do to get people to waste money on stuff they don't need, to drink and eat to unhealthy extremes and, of course, to gamble what is left of their money as if it was still the good old days of 2007? If that seems to be an impossible dream in days like the last several weeks, well then you have underestimated Vegas. But just as clear is that Vegas cannot afford to overestimate itself anymore.

Photo: Sarah Gerke


Simpson faces justice and new spots face weird economy

September 8, 2008 | 11:07 am
I am heading this morning to check out the front of the courthouse, where the O.J. Simpson trial is taking place, for a Las Vegas Weekly story (where I am on staff). I will also report on the Buffet what I find.

Jury selection begins today, which is a rather insignificant event in what, aside from Simpson being the one charged, is an insignificant case. A friend on jury duty last week was totally disappointed to miss her chance to be on the jury.

The story has been front page news with a level of press coverage that any new show or restaurant on the Strip would love to score. Excuse that awkward transition. Over the weekend I checked out new spots on the Strip for the print Buffet: Yellowtail (sushi restaurant)  at Bellagio, Rok (nightclub) at New York New York and Wasted Space (live venue and lounge) at Hard Rock. At the end of last week, I visited Lavo (nightclub and restaurant) at Palazzo for the same story.

I am looking at all of these new spots and what they bring to the Strip. But as a side note I am curious about how the economy is affecting this first group of new offerings to land square in what is one of the worst economic periods Las Vegas has experienced. Obviously, new offerings of the future will be created for the economy facing Vegas. But all of these newly opened places started planning more than a year ago. And, obviously, they were expecting to open in a very different  Las Vegas economy than the current rocky one.
Rok Lavo and Yellowtail are counting on business staying good at the very top, if the product is good enough. Both think they are good enough. Words such as "bargain" or "value" do not appear in their marketing. I interviewed the chef of Yellowtail and he proudly spoke of flying in the best ingredients, no matter the expense. One of the owners of Lavo told me that costumers would pay a "premium" for a place that was worth the experience.

But  managing partner Ethan Asch of Rok (pictured) did give me a glimmer of realism, noting that his club was opening in "weird times." According to Asch, "This is not the economy we expected when we began planning Vegas."

I found the solution that Rok has developed wonderfully Vegas: half-bottle service. Bottle service is  where you pay a vastly inflated price for a bottle of alcohol such as vodka (though at Rok, Asch says you can choose  the herbal liqueur Jagermeister or other bottles) mostly to get a table to sit at. So although you are technically paying for the bottle, the real estate where you sit with your friends-- to see and be seen in the club-- is what is being sold.

So, how much is half-bottle service? According to Asch:  "Full bottle service is anywhere between $295 to $500, and half bottles are between $150 and $200. And you still get the table. In most areas we are $60 to $80 less than our competitors."

FYI: Asch is right that you would never get a bottle of Jaeger for under $300 from most of his competitors and, if you want a table, a half a bottle isn't an option at most other Vegas nightclubs.

But it's easy to forget that a 750-milliliter bottle of Jagermeister is well under $50 at retailers I checked. So keep in mind the very relative nature of the Vegas bargain at nightclubs.  It underlines the virtually impossible attempt to make the over-the-top luxury of Vegas nightclubs truly affordable in a way most understand the word. And that is what makes the future of Vegas during these, yes, Asch had the perfect term, "weird times," such a challenge in a town that has always operated as if Vegas would remain recession proof.

Anyway, I must get to one new entertainment bargain that remains free: O.J. Simpson. I hope the guy with the chicken suit is back too.  It is supposed to be 103 degrees outside the courthouse today. He should cook up nicely.
(Photo by Sarah Gerke)

Breaking news: Echelon construction suspended

August 1, 2008 | 10:49 am
Boyd Gaming announced today they were suspending construction on the nearly $5-billion Echelon project that is going up where the Stardust once was located. According to the statement:

"Due to the difficult environment in today's capital markets, as well as weak economic conditions, we have decided to delay our Echelon project on the Las Vegas Strip. Our present expectation is to resume construction in three to four quarters, assuming credit market conditions and the economic outlook improves."

Though rumors of problems with Echelon construction financing had been widespread, the resort was actually already being built. I don't think anyone was fully prepared for Boyd Gaming (one of the local companies that really has mastered the Vegas market for decades) to simply bring the project to a total, if ostensibly temporary, halt.

Where Did All the Condos Go?

October 12, 2006 | 12:04 pm

There is so much reporting involved in this story that I am not sure if I will have it ready this month. I have started to work on a Sunday Calendar column that tries to pick the winners and losers in the Vegas high-end luxury condo market.

A little more than year ago it seemed high rise project after project was announced and then many of them got postponed, canceled or scaled back. In fact, far more have been canceled than built. Two famous losers so far include Ivana Trump and George Clooney, both of whom lent their celebrity to failed projects.

The big picture seems to be that the casino resorts like MGM's CityCenter and Echelon Place as well expansions at Venetian and Wynn have drained the skilled labor pool and driven up the cost of materials. Condo builders lack a gaming revenue stream and simply can't compete with the amount of money casinos can pump into construction.


Is Las Vegas Recession-Proof?

August 2, 2006 | 12:11 pm

I learned a couple basic homespun truths when I moved to Las Vegas:

  1. When it comes to flooding on the street during rainstorms here, the water collects mainly in the right lane.
  2. Our town is recession-proof. Or so I thought.

On Sept. 11, 2001, world events caused this town's unflagging optimism to briefly turn grim. If I correctly remember one telling statistic from fall of that year, there was a point where, briefly, the stock value of the entire Mandalay Group (which at the time owned among its properties Mandalay Bay, Luxor and Excalibur) dropped lower than the cost to build the Luxor. And there were layoffs at the major casinos followed by the Aladdin filing for bankruptcy.

But the economic aftermath of Sept. 11 proved short-lived here. Las Vegas has more or less spent the past four years existing under a presumption of endless growth. There has been the real estate boom, the high end condo boom, the nightclub boom, etc.

Planning in Las Vegas of all sorts — on a corporate, personal and governmental level — is all about being able to accommodate growth. But are we really recession proof? Gas prices are way up, which must matter to you who come here from California; two local casino companies (Boyd and Station) recently had disappointing casino openings (Red Rock Station and South Coast) reflected in their earnings reports; by general consensus the housing market is softening and high-rise condos are being canceled quicker than they are being built.

No one locally is putting all this together in any significant way. But the national media are starting to wonder. An article in the latest issue of Business Week, "Las Vegas Isn't Feeling So Flush," concludes: "Like it or not, Las Vegas seems poised for a slowdown." Is that possible?



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